An Australian Centrist view of Donald Trump…

Hillary Clinton is corrupt and an influence peddling politician, on the take, and seemingly above the law. She is however cunning as a fox and has the might of the establishment, media, social platforms, and the majority of Hispanic, Black and LGBT voters supporting her.

But then there is Donald Trump.

How the Hell did this guy blow away 16 candidates? The guy is a machine.

I DO like his ability to piss people off and not budge an inch against the outrage merchants, PC police, identity politic panderers and Social Justice Warriors. Takes guts and balls. Another thing I like about him is his ability to actually engage and be animated, joke around, and such. The fact that people under-estimate him is kind of awesome.

There is one tiny thing I have an issue with. (I mean he IS a blowhard, egoist and arrogant, but I have no issue with these things. Nothing dishonest or malicious about these traits – See Hillary above). That one issue is, in his efforts to simplify things he has taken very complex matters with much nuance and sensitivity and a heap of context, and tried to sum these things up in 2 sentence answers. Now I have reason to suspect why he has done this but it HAS hurt him a bit and unfairly so.

I can well imagine his campaign staff saying “Okay Donald, I really need your attention a minute. Here is one of the big issues we need to address. Read through this memo on illegal immigrants. Really important.”

Him saying “Yeah I got it. Illegal immigrants are important”

Them trying again “No, Donald. We spent hours on this. It is really nuanced and very sensitive. We need you to hit all the right notes or they will twist this to make you look really bad”

Him saying “Trust me it will be fine. They will love it”

Them going full hog whilst they have his attention “Right. Donald, because of open borders Mexican cartels prey on illegal immigrants to people smuggle, use as drug mules and rape trees mark the no man land around the border between Mexico and US, as a testament to the brutality that the Mexican cartels visit on illegal immigrants trying to cross. There is gang warfare and murders and associated cartel violence around these areas. A border wall will reduce this substantially. It will keep our citizens safer and mean less illegal immigrants have to deal with these atrocities.”

He tells them its great and then (without teleprompter) and without any of that background or context says “They send rapists and drug dealers here…”

At the end of the speech he is all smiles and thumbs up, the liberal press gets out their knives and the memo writers are consecutively facepalming or crying.

This is I think his biggest problem. I do not think his policies or messages are bad or immoral or come from a bad place nor are stupid. I think they are really very good. His delivery did suck.

Was it completely be accident though?

Donald Trump is despite his faults persuasive, charismatic AND smart. It is one of the things that people so often underrate him on. I notice it with Liberals, they see him and assume that he is stupid and immoral and then with this overestimation of their own moral and intellectual superiority over him and by direct connection, his followers, they cast insults and judgments down from a high horse position.

Then they are surprised when he meets each challenge put toward him. They increasingly find themselves running short of reasons for him doing so well. Luck can only go so far and how many people in the US are REALLY THAT stupid/immoral? Of course the possibility that they were the stupid ones to not see what was going on is too hard for them to admit. The same applies to their belief of him as a fascist, Nazi, racist, xenophobe, sexist or whatever. He keeps on Trumping them. Shame too for them because they miss out on seeing brilliance.

Remember when he started? 16 candidates. Over a year worth of campaigning. I think he was smart and said “I gotta do whatever I need to win this Primary. Long term consequences be damned. Let me win here and then I will deal with the fallout later because if i don’t win this and play too safe, there will be no later”

He generated SO much free press. As someone that was funding himself it would have been a boon, BUT that was not the main two reasons to generate the free press. One reason was to make him the focus. This put him right up at the leader pack in front of many seasoned politicians. It also starved publicity from the other candidates. If everyone is writing about Trump and not you, then they are unlikely to vote for you. Of course I have mentioned the types of things he said that generated this free publicity.

Then he picked those juvenile names:Low Energy Jeb, Little Marco and Lyin’ Ted. Yes, they were silly and immature BUT they DID stick with repetition and NO ONE wants to vote in a politician that you think is a liar or is lazy or petite.

They kept dropping out. It WAS brutal and there was a lot of fallout. The party was fractured. Then it was time to start consolidating. His VP pick was a good one. Not only for the evangelical vote (because he was not going to get it through the Cruz camp) but more importantly he represented a line to the establishment who were unhappy with Trump (a tip of the hat, if you will). Heading into the convention an attempted coup failed. The convention was almost resoundingly a success. Two speeches (his wife’s and Ted’s) were slightly problematic. But that was no big thing. Letting Ted speak would make Donald look like the better person regardless. Better he did look too. Whilst Cruz was not interested in endorsing Trump, he virtual committed political suicide and so very many of his horrified supporters have thrown in with Trump now.

Trump no longer needs to attract attention. He needs to mend a few bridges, which as mentioned above, he is doing. He needs to campaign hard but he is up for that. He has identified 15 battleground states to concentrate on leading up to the election. I have noticed he is relying more on the teleprompters and keeping it nice and tight. His support base is solid and growing. His party is slowly solidifying around him. (Many of the people adamantly opposed to him are coming to the end of their terms this year and may well finish up or be voted out, which will take away some of the problem).

So at the moment he is up in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. If he can defend the Romney states and flip these, then he has won it. He is 5 months from the general election and obviously a lot can happen but he has finally broken through and is leading Hillary in the polls, and in the states that matter.

I personally think Hillary for all her corruption and her support from media, social media, SuperPacs, various celebrities and Liberal establishment will lose this one. She WILL snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

It will be glorious. When she loses and he wins, I am going to contact all of those celebrities that virtue signalled that they were going to leave US if trump became President and I will ask them each when are they leaving.

This is an exciting election. I do hope that the Bernie supporters do not support Hillary as she screwed them through her surrogates in the DNC. We know how that goes though they do her bidding on her behalf with her having plausible deniability and in return they get the promise of a reward. Just like the Mafiosi back in the day the soldiers would do work for the caporegimes who acted for the Don. If the soldiers were caught they had to take the fall and remain quiet. Whilst in prison, their families were looked after and they had a reward for when they got out. However if they tried to rat out the Boss, then the result was often fatal. Do Debbie Wasserman-Schultz takes the fall and gets an appointment by Hillary as a reward (Well done trying to look like you were not rewarding her Hillary, subtle you weren’t).

I think really their options are either of two options. Either “reward” Hillary and give her the result she deserves by voting for Trump OR vote for someone at least as ideologically pure as Bernie (if not moreso) in progressive politics. Carry on the Political revolution. Vote for her, build the grassroots and networks. If you vote for her will you win? Nope. But if you do all rally behind her, you will give her strength and you will see how much difference you made, where your weaknesses are and what you need to do over the next 4 years to make the party viable and politically viable against the other two. So maybe a red, blue and green party?

I am really looking forward to Trump winning and for him to prove his naysayers wrong.

 

 

 

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