I just watched the Second Presidential Debate. If I was nervous about the first one I was doubly so with the second. I knew Hillary was not going to collapse or cough or whatever. Worse than this, a couple of days before the debate, The Trump Tapes had been dropped on Trump and were seen as perhaps campaign ruining by some.
I thought Trump may have been on the ropes a little. I know he is a smart guy and plays to win. I know he is not sensitive and soft, but in addition to this I knew he had two moderators and they were both Liberals. I suspected he was being set up to be bailed out of the campaign.
I had two things that gave me a little solace. Firstly, Trump is unpredictable and secondly, he has the bar set so low for him in terms of expectation, that he may survive this debate even if it goes rather badly.
Now I have watched the debate in its entirety and all I can say is “Wow! Holy shit!”. Hillary has done so very badly here. Terribly. I will need to really spell out how bad this was in my view because it is not perhaps as some have spelled it out of for reasons they may say. Its actually worse and for better reasons.
Last debate Hillary won. She did better. Not by much, but better. Trump returned the favour. I would have rated out of 10 for the last debate, Hillary a 7.5 and Trump a 6. You will note not a lot between them. This debate I would rate Hillary a 6-6.5 and Trump a 7.5-8.
Hillary suffers from a weight of media and Liberal surrogate driven high expectations. She is SUPPOSED to be this experienced, super knowledgeable, efficient , connected, policy wonk. Trump is supposed to be an inefficient, uncontrolled, ineffective, ignorant, useless, stupid, hopeless, rambling idiot. His expectations are terrible.
As I said in the previous post she is almost obligated to destroy Trump in the debates because she is this political superwoman and he is a joke candidate in contrast and comparison, apparently. So he doing not markedly worse than her in the first debate actually probably went against her. This time he actually beat her. THAT REALLY goes against her. IF he is this hopeless candidate and she is the pinnacle of political brilliance, how the Hell does that happen?
But it is worse than that Trump is a person that is not running on political experience or political knowledge or his political achievements. He is running on his energy, personality, anti-establishment ideas, and his fresh ideas. This debate forum is entirely suited to Clinton. He also wings it far more than Hillary and THAT is a weakness. If she gets such low crowds, hates rallies and interviews, has no personality and such, then THIS is where she HAS to demolish him. Three debates. First one she barely won, second one, she lost, and now she only really has one more opportunity.
But it gets worse than that. The Moderators were interjecting, favouring Hillary, loading questions against Trump, and even debating Trump. Still he won.
But it gets worse still. Two days ago the Trump Tapes were dropped and caused an uproar. Trump publicly apologised and People were up in arms. It was going to come up and it was going to be ugly. Seemingly all Hillary had to do was to sink the boot. Trump was expected to be knocked down by this and leave the debate with his campaign in tatters. What did he do? He got the women who have been on the other end of Hillary’s malice to speak out about this and to be in the front row of the Presidential debate. then when it got onto that topic (and not satisfied with Trump’s inability to grovel) and ask it three times, Trump was able to answer it effectively and decisively and take that off the table. Hillary could not do much with it and when she did he destroyed her with talking about Bill (with him in the audience no less).
I get the feeling that she is simply out of strategy or answers. She is losing ground and her campaign’s attempts to hurt him are failing. I expect there will be bigger things to come out in this last 4 weeks and they will be more terrible BUT after this sensational failure, won’t it be seen as what it is? Desperate ploys made by desperate people?
This still could go any way. But Hillary has one more opportunity to take out Trump. If Trump can gain in the Battleground states and keep those gains, he will win and he is slowly doing that. A slight shift to him will have him turn Florida and Pennsylvania from tied to win. There is precious little between North Carolina, Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Higher rates of Republican and Independent turnouts for Trump and/or a few percent shift, will change the whole nature of this election.
Watch how desperate Hillary’s campaign will be from here on out and how many different tactics they will use. Strap in folks. It is going to be a bumpy ride.